Chorus
Audience Intelligence Study · ROI

Raise more money. Engage more supporters.

Typical models can't see the content you send. Chorus measures every open, click, gift, and unsubscribe against the content behind it, and predicts how each supporter will react to the specific message you're about to send. Enter your program's numbers to see what that is worth.

Your program

Replace the sample values below with your own organization's numbers.

%
$
$
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Return on one year of Chorus Orchestrate

Chorus Orchestrate subscription
Value if you capture 25%
Value if you capture 50%

Topic routing
Strategic suppression, email
Strategic suppression, SMS
Sustainer saves

How we count this. The value we calculate is what topic routing, strategic suppression, and sustainer saves would be worth if every send used them. We size each one from patterns in our past studies and apply it to your numbers. These are opportunities we calculated. A pilot measures the actual lift in your program.

No program captures all of it. Mission messages and legal or operational notices go to everyone, whatever the response. Some weeks there's nothing new on a supporter's top topic. Teams roll changes out over months, and the model can't see everything your team knows. We assume you capture 25% to 50%.

When the value arrives. Topic routing raises gifts in the same year. Strategic suppression and sustainer saves also count future giving, from supporters who stay on your list and sustainer gifts that keep coming after a save. Figures are a yearly run rate once the interventions are live; year one runs lower while the pilot is in market.

Not included: direct mail and ads. Strategic suppression works the same way in direct mail, and each piece not sent saves printing and postage. In ads, the same scores point spend at the people most likely to respond, so the same budget brings in more. We left both out of this calculator.

Advanced: change the assumptions

Topic routing

Lift on fundraising at full rollout19% to 62% of email fundraising in our two donor studies; we start low and apply it to SMS too%

Sustainers

Sustainers who stop each year18.5% and 32% in our donor studies%
Stops flagged aheadMeasured: 34%%
Flagged sustainers savedNot yet measured%
Months of gifts a save adds17 and 19 in our donor studies

Strategic suppression

Share of email sends suppressed%
Unsubscribes in those sendsMeasured: the costliest 20% of sends held 26%%
Email revenue in those sendsMeasured: the same 20% held 3% of gifts%
Emailed supporters who unsubscribe a monthAbout 1 in 7 a year in our donor studies%
Future giving per unsubscribe avoidedMeasured at $3 and $23 in our donor studies$

SMS

Texts per subscriber a month
Cost per text$
Share of texts suppressedDeeper than email, since every text has a price%
SMS revenue in those textsAssumed. At Client B, the top tenth on our gift score held about half of SMS gift dollars%
Texted supporters who unsubscribe a monthSet to the email rate%

Capture and price

Lower capture%
Upper capture%
Orchestrate per 1,000 records a monthRecords: emailed supporters plus texted supporters not on email$

01

What we've seen across our studies

Each study sizes the opportunity in the organization's own data, shown here at 25% to 50% capture. Clients are described by type and labeled A to C throughout the page.

OrganizationRevenue liftValue per yearWhere most of it comes from
Client ANational human-services nonprofit+8% to +46%$299K to $1.64MSending each donor the ask on the cause they care about
Client BNational advocacy nonprofit+7% to +21%$253K to $715KRight-sized asks and topic routing
Client CRegional environmental nonprofit+10% to +23%CA$23K to CA$52KAsking the donors most likely to become sustainers first
02

The study pays for itself

A study gives you a picture of your audience you can act on immediately, whether or not you go further. At our two national clients, the changes the team could make on its own were worth several times the study price each year.

$
Client A

National human-services nonprofit

a year's value against the study price
$124K to $247K a year at 25% to 50% capture
  • Don't go silent after someone gives.
  • Keep political asks off low-engaged supporters.
  • Spell out what a gift pays for ("$1 provides...").
  • Write to "you" instead of "we" for active donors.
Client B

National advocacy nonprofit

a year's value against the study price
$162K to $482K a year at 25% to 50% capture
  • Match the ask to the donor's last gift. Asking for much more brought in fewer gifts, and asking for less didn't make gifts smaller.
  • When you ask for money, talk about your impact and mission. Save specific fights for asks to take action.
  • Lead with the threat. Emails about what's at risk brought in more gifts than emails about standing together.
03

Patterns that show up in our studies

We've seen these across existing clients and expect to see them in future ones. How big each one is varies by organization, which is why every engagement starts with a study.

Topic affinity

Supporters respond more when the ask is on their topic

1.6x to 2.2xthe gift rate when a donor's ask is aligned to their top topic
Clients A and B
  • Supporters who haven't given yet engage more with aligned emails: 8 points more opens at Client A, and 25 more clicks per 1,000 sends at Client C.
  • Framing counts too. At Client A, political framing was safe for politically engaged supporters and saw 29% more unsubscribes from everyone else.
Ladder of engagement

Interest fades fast, so timing matters

7.7xas likely to give a first gift the month after a never-giver takes an action
Client C
Gifts on asks tied to a topic the supporter engaged with, by how long ago, Client A
  • At Client A, asks on a topic someone engaged with in the last 60 days saw 57% more gifts than asks on older interest.
  • At Client C, one-time donors were 3.1x as likely to start a sustainer plan in the 3 months after a gift.
Unsubscribe risk

A small part of the list drives most unsubscribes

85x to 163xhow much more often the riskiest tenth of a list unsubscribes than the safest tenth
Clients A and B
Share of a month's unsubscribes, Client B
  • At Clients A and B, 2 to 3 more supporters went inactive for every one who unsubscribed. Both are predictable from email behavior.
Sustainers

We can predict who becomes a sustainer, and who stops

17xmore sustainer plans started among the 5,000 supporters our score ranked highest than in a random 5,000
Client C, six months of new plans
  • Email engagement signals who is about to stop. At Clients A and B, an unsubscribe went with 2.2x to 2.5x the chance a sustainer stops, and at Client A the risk rose as opens and clicks fell below that sustainer's normal.
04

Findings that depend on your organization

Copy, tone, and the shape of the ask mattered in every study, and what wins differs by organization. We recommend an A/B test first and leave these out of the ROI. The differences can be large.

Test first, not counted in the ROI
+271%

Gifts from $250+ donors on impact-math asks ("$1 provides...") compared with standard asksClient A, year-end only, next to a match offer

2.4x

Gifts on asks at 1.5x to 2x the donor's last gift, against asks at 2x or moreClient B

+43–55%

Gifts in a randomized match testClient A

1.8x

Actions on emails that name a specific placeClient C

+39%

Gifts from active donors on copy written to "you" instead of "we"Client A

Fear vs. hope

Threat framing saw more gifts than solidarity framingClient B

05

How we put the patterns to work

Every organization is different. These are the interventions we run with clients today, and the three the calculator counts.

Topic routing

Write a few more versions of the ask, and send each supporter the one closest to what they care about.

In your calculator
What it looks like
For tentpole moments like year-end and Giving Tuesday, the team writes 3 to 10 versions of the ask. Chorus splits the list so each supporter gets the closest one.
How we measure it
Increase in gift rate on the sends that use it, against a holdout that gets the standard ask.
Patterns it uses
Topic affinityFraming

Strategic suppression

Keep your own business rules, and hold back the people unlikely to give and likely to leave.

The costliest 20% of sends at Client B
In your calculator, email and SMS
What it looks like
For any send, you choose the audience with your own rules. Chorus returns a suppression file. List health improves right away, and over time you keep a larger list and more future gifts.
How we measure it
Unsubscribes avoided, valued at the future giving each supporter would have brought in. On SMS we also count the money saved by sending fewer texts.
SMS: fewer texts, lower cost
Patterns it uses
Unsubscribe riskLadder of engagementTopic affinity
What an unsubscribe is worth
We find out in the study. Here is email and SMS suppression at three values, using your numbers.
Per unsubscribe25% capture50% capture

Sustainer saves and upgrades

Reach sustainers before the gift stops, and ask the one-time donors most likely to become sustainers.

stops a year
flagged ahead
saved
In your calculator, saves only
What it looks like
Each week Chorus flags sustainers whose email engagement is slipping, so the team can reach out before the gift stops.
Upgrades
Chorus ranks one-time donors by how likely they are to start a sustainer plan, and the sustainer ask goes to them first.
How we measure it
Plans still active 3 and 6 months later, and new plans started, each against a holdout.
Patterns it uses
SustainersUnsubscribe riskLadder of engagement
06

How an engagement works

Step 1

Study

Every program is different. The study finds which of these patterns matter most in your data and sizes each one.

Step 2

Pilot

We run the top intervention against a holdout for one to two months, so you see your own lift before you commit.

Step 3

Orchestrate

We add the top interventions one at a time so your team isn't overwhelmed. $10 per 1,000 supporter records a month, across email, SMS, and other channels.